Preoperative predictors for early and very early disease recurrence in patients undergoing resection of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma

Lois A Daamen*, Galina Dorland, Lilly J H Brada, Vincent P Groot, A Floortje van Oosten, Marc G Besselink, Koop Bosscha, Bert A Bonsing, Olivier R Busch, Geert A Cirkel, Ronald M van Dam, Sebastiaan Festen, Bas Groot Koerkamp, Nadia Haj Mohammad, Erwin van der Harst, Ignace H J T de Hingh, Martijn P W Intven, Geert Kazemier, Maartje Los, Vincent E de MeijerVincent B Nieuwenhuijs, Daphne Roos, Jennifer M J Schreinemakers, Martijn W J Stommel, Robert C Verdonk, Helena M Verkooijen, I Quintus Molenaar, Hjalmar C van Santvoort*, Dutch Pancreatic Cancer Group

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Abstract

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to identify predictors for early and very early disease recurrence in patients undergoing resection of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) resection with and without neoadjuvant therapy.

METHODS: Included were patients who underwent PDAC resection (2014-2016). Multivariable multinomial regression was performed to identify preoperative predictors for manifestation of recurrence within 3, 6 and 12 months after PDAC resection.

RESULTS: 836 patients with a median follow-up of 37 (interquartile range [IQR] 30-48) months and overall survival of 18 (IQR 10-32) months were analyzed. 670 patients (80%) developed recurrence: 82 patients (10%) <3 months, 96 patients (11%) within 3-6 months and 226 patients (27%) within 6-12 months. LogCA 19-9 (OR 1.25 [95% CI 1.10-1.41]; P < 0.001) and neoadjuvant treatment (OR 0.09 [95% CI 0.01-0.68]; P = 0.02) were associated with recurrence <3 months. LogCA 19-9 (OR 1.23 [95% CI 1.10-1.38]; P < 0.001) and 0-90° venous involvement on CT imaging (OR 2.93 [95% CI 1.60-5.37]; P < 0.001) were associated with recurrence within 3-6 months. A Charlson Age Comorbidity Index ≥4 (OR 1.53 [95% CI 1.09-2.16]; P = 0.02) and logCA 19-9 (OR 1.24 [95% CI 1.14-1.35]; P < 0.001) were related to recurrence within 6-12 months.

CONCLUSION: This study demonstrates preoperative predictors that are associated with the manifestation of early and very early recurrence after PDAC resection. Knowledge of these predictors can be used to guide individualized surveillance and treatment strategies.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)535-546
Number of pages12
JournalHPB
Volume24
Issue number4
Early online date24 Sept 2021
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Apr 2022

Keywords

  • SURVIVAL
  • THERAPY
  • UPFRONT SURGERY
  • ADJUVANT CHEMOTHERAPY
  • QUALITY-OF-LIFE
  • GEMCITABINE

Fingerprint

Dive into the research topics of 'Preoperative predictors for early and very early disease recurrence in patients undergoing resection of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

Cite this