Justice under Uncertainty

Elena Cettolin, Arno Riedl

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Abstract

Uncertain outcomes are an inevitable feature of policy choices and their public support often depends on their perceived justice. We theoretically and experimentally explore just allocations when recipients are exposed to certainty and uncertainty. In the experiment, uninvolved participants unequivocally choose to allocate resources equally between recipients, when there is certainty. In stark contrast, with uncertainty just allocations are widely dispersed and recipients exposed to higher degrees of uncertainty are allocated less. The observed allocations can be well organized by four different theoretical views of justice, indicating that uninvolved participants differ fundamentally in their views on justice under uncertainty.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)3739-3759
Number of pages21
JournalManagement Science
Volume63
Issue number11
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Nov 2017

Keywords

  • justice
  • uncertainty
  • experiment
  • DISTRIBUTIVE JUSTICE
  • INDIVIDUALISTIC ETHICS
  • CARDINAL WELFARE
  • RISK ATTITUDES
  • FAIRNESS
  • PREFERENCES
  • UTILITY
  • COMPETITION
  • INEQUALITY
  • ALLOCATION

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