Comparison of different thoracic trauma scoring systems in regards to prediction of post-traumatic complications and outcome in blunt chest trauma

BACKGROUND: As accurate assessment of thoracic injury severity in the early phase after trauma is difficult, we compared different thoracic trauma scores regarding their predictive ability for the development of post-traumatic complications and mortality.

MATERIALS AND METHODS: Two hundred seventy-eight multiple trauma patients (ISS ≥ 16) age > 16 y with severe blunt chest trauma (AIS(chest) ≥ 3) admitted between 2000 and 2009 to Level I Trauma center were included. Exclusion criteria were severe traumatic brain injury (AIS(head) ≥ 3) and penetrating thoracic trauma. The association between AIS(chest), Pulmonary Contusion score (PCS), Wagner-score and Thoracic Trauma Severity score (TTS), and duration of ventilation, length of ICU stay, development of post-traumatic complications, and mortality was investigated. Statistical analysis was performed with χ(2)-test, ANOVA, logistic regression, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve.

RESULTS: Patients' mean age was 42.7 ± 17.0 y, the mean injury severity score was 28.7 ± 9.3 points. Overall, 60 patients (21.6%) developed ARDS, 143 patients (51.4%) SIRS, 110 patients (39.6%) sepsis, and 36 patients (13.0%) MODS. Twenty-two patients (7.9%) died. Among the examined thoracic trauma scores only the TTS was an independent predictor of mortality. With the TTS showing the best prediction power, the TTS, PCS, and Wagner-score were independent predictors of ventilation time, length of ICU stay, and the development of post-traumatic ARDS and MODS.

CONCLUSIONS: Thoracic trauma scores combining anatomical and physiologic parameters like the TTS seem to be most suitable for severity assessment and prediction of outcome in multiple trauma patients with concomitant blunt chest trauma.