Burden of breast cancer and attributable risk factors in the North Africa and Middle East region, 1990–2019: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

Sina Azadnajafabad, Sahar Saeedi Moghaddam, Esmaeil Mohammadi, Negar Rezaei, Mohammad Mahdi Rashidi, Nazila Rezaei, Ali H. Mokdad, Mohsen Naghavi, Christopher J.L. Murray, Bagher Larijani, Farshad Farzadfar*, Mohsen Abbasi-Kangevari, Zeinab Abbasi-Kangevari, Hedayat Abbastabar, Hassan Abidi, Hassan Abolhassani, Hiwa Abubaker Ali, Eman Abu-Gharbieh, Juan Manuel Acuna, Sima AfrashtehMuhammad Sohail Afzal, Sajjad Ahmad, Ali Ahmadi, Sepideh Ahmadi, Haroon Ahmed, Luai A. Ahmed, Tarik Ahmed Rashid, Marjan Ajami, Mostafa Akbarzadeh-Khiavi, Hanadi Al Hamad, Mohammed Khaled Al-Hanawi, Beriwan Abdulqadir Ali, Yousef Alimohamadi, Sadaf Alipour, Syed Mohamed Aljunid, Sami Almustanyir, Rajaa M. Al-Raddadi, Saba Alvand, Jalal Arabloo, Morteza Arab-Zozani, Armin Aryannejad, Tahira Ashraf, Seyyed Shamsadin Athari, Amirhossein Azari Jafari, Nader Bagheri, Sara Bagherieh, Saeed Bahadory, Mohammad Behnammoghadam, Akshaya Srikanth Bhagavathula, Mostafa Dianatinasab, GBD 2019 NAME Breast Cancer Collaborators

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Abstract

Background: Breast cancer (BC) is the most common cancer in women globally. The North Africa and Middle East (NAME) region is coping hard with the burden of BC. We aimed to present the latest epidemiology of BC and its risk factors in this region. Methods: We retrieved the data on BC burden and risk factors from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 to describe BC status in the 21 countries of the NAME region from 1990 to 2019. We explored BC incidence, prevalence, deaths, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), and attributable burden to seven risk factors of female BC, namely, alcohol use, diet high in red meat, low physical activity, smoking, secondhand smoke, high body mass index, and high fasting plasma glucose. Decomposition analysis on BC incidence trend was done to find out the contributing factors to this cancer’s growth. Results: In 2019, there were 835,576 (95% uncertainty interval: 741,968 to 944,851) female and 10,938 (9,030 to 13,256) male prevalent cases of BC in the NAME region. This number leads to 35,405 (30,676 to 40,571) deaths among female patients and 809 (654 to 1,002) deaths in male patients this year. BC was responsible for 1,222,835 (1,053,073 to 1,411,009) DALYs among female patients in 2019, with a greater proportion (94.9%) of burden in years of life lost (YLLs). The major contributor to female BC incidence increase in the past three decades was found to be increase in age-specific incidence rates of BC (227.5%), compared to population growth (73.8%) and aging (81.8%). The behavioral risk factors were responsible for majority of attributable female BC burden (DALYs: 106,026 [66,614 to 144,247]). High fasting plasma glucose was found to be the risk factor with the largest effect (DALYs: 84,912 [17,377 to 192,838]) on female BC burden. Conclusion: The increasing incidence and burden of BC in the NAME region is remarkable, especially when considering limited resources in the developing countries of this region. Proper policies like expanding screening programs and careful resource management are needed to effectively manage BC burden.
Original languageEnglish
Article number1132816
Number of pages20
JournalFrontiers in Oncology
Volume13
Issue number1
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 Aug 2023

Keywords

  • breast cancer
  • epidemiology
  • Global Burden of Disease
  • Middle East
  • North Africa
  • risk factor

Fingerprint

Dive into the research topics of 'Burden of breast cancer and attributable risk factors in the North Africa and Middle East region, 1990–2019: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

Cite this