Asset Market Linkages in Crisis Periods

Ph. Hartmann, S.T.M. Straetmans, C. de Vries

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

170 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

We characterize asset return linkages during periods of stress by an extremal dependence measure. Contrary to correlation analysis, this nonparametric measure is not predisposed toward the normal distribution and can allow for nonlinear relationships. Our estimates for the G-5 countries suggest that simultaneous crashes between stock markets are much more likely than between bond markets. However, for the assessment of financial system stability the widely disregarded cross-asset perspective is particularly important. For example, our data show that stock-bond contagion is approximately as frequent as flight to quality from stocks into bonds. Extreme cross-border linkages are surprisingly similar to national linkages, illustrating a potential downside to international financial integration.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)313-326
Number of pages14
JournalReview of Economics and Statistics
Volume2004
Issue number86
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 Jan 2004

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