Police and thieves in the stadium: measuring the (multiple) effects of football matches on crime

O. Marie

doi:10.1111/rssa.12113

Police and thieves in the stadium: measuring the (multiple) effects of football matches on crime

O. Marie^*

^*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › Academic › peer-review

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Abstract

Large sporting events affect criminal behaviour via three channels: fan concentration, self-incapacitation and police displacement. I exploit information on football matches for London teams linked to detailed recorded crime data at the area level to estimate these effects empirically. I find that only property crime increases in the communities hosting matches but not violent offences. There is a negative away game attendance effect on crime which is due to voluntary incapacitation of potential offenders attending a match. Police displacement during home games increases property crime by 7 percentage points for every extra 10000 supporters in areas that are left underprotected.

Original language	English
Pages (from-to)	273-292
Number of pages	20
Journal	Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A-Statistics in Society
Volume	179
Issue number	1
Early online date	3 Apr 2015
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1111/rssa.12113
Publication status	Published - Jan 2016

Keywords

Crime
Football matches
Police displacement
Self-incapacitation
BEHAVIOR
VIOLENCE

Access to Document

10.1111/rssa.12113

Author's versionAccepted author manuscript, 598 KB

Cite this

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title = "Police and thieves in the stadium: measuring the (multiple) effects of football matches on crime",

abstract = "Large sporting events affect criminal behaviour via three channels: fan concentration, self-incapacitation and police displacement. I exploit information on football matches for London teams linked to detailed recorded crime data at the area level to estimate these effects empirically. I find that only property crime increases in the communities hosting matches but not violent offences. There is a negative away game attendance effect on crime which is due to voluntary incapacitation of potential offenders attending a match. Police displacement during home games increases property crime by 7 percentage points for every extra 10000 supporters in areas that are left underprotected.",

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AB - Large sporting events affect criminal behaviour via three channels: fan concentration, self-incapacitation and police displacement. I exploit information on football matches for London teams linked to detailed recorded crime data at the area level to estimate these effects empirically. I find that only property crime increases in the communities hosting matches but not violent offences. There is a negative away game attendance effect on crime which is due to voluntary incapacitation of potential offenders attending a match. Police displacement during home games increases property crime by 7 percentage points for every extra 10000 supporters in areas that are left underprotected.

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KW - BEHAVIOR

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