Research output

Cognitive Bubbles

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Associated researcher

Associated organisations

Abstract

Smith et al. (Econometrica 56(5):1119, 1988) reported large bubbles and crashes in experimental asset markets, a result that has been replicated many times. Here we test whether the occurrence of bubbles depends on the experimental subjects' cognitive sophistication. In a two-part experiment, we first run a battery of tests to assess the subjects' cognitive sophistication and classify them into low or high levels. We then invite them separately to two asset market experiments populated only by subjects with either low or high cognitive sophistication. We observe classic bubble and crash patterns in markets populated by subjects with low levels of cognitive sophistication. Yet, no bubbles or crashes are observed with our sophisticated subjects, indicating that cognitive sophistication of the experimental market participants has a strong impact on price efficiency.

    Research areas

  • Asset market experiment, Bubbles, Cognitive sophistication, EXPERIMENTAL ASSET MARKETS, THAR SHE BLOWS, PRICE EFFICIENCY, DECISION-MAKING, GUESSING GAMES, RISK-AVERSION, BEHAVIOR, EXPECTATIONS, CRASHES, MONEY
View graph of relations

Details

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)132-153
Number of pages22
JournalExperimental Economics
Volume21
Issue number1
Early online date2017
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Mar 2018