Agreeing to Disagree with Conditional Probability Systems

Elias Tsakas*

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Abstract

In this note, we extend Aumann’s agreement theorem to a framework where beliefs are modelled by conditional probability systems à la Battigalli, P., and M. Siniscalchi. 1999. “Hierarchies of Conditional Beliefs and Interactive Epistemology in Dynamic Games. ”Journal of Economic Theory 88: 188–230. We prove two independent generalizations of the agreement theorem, one where the agents share some common conditioning event, and one where they may not.
Original languageEnglish
Article number20160182
Number of pages7
JournalB E Journal of Theoretical Economics
Volume18
Issue number2
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Jul 2018
Event12th Conference on Logic and the Foundations of Game and Decision Theory (LOFT) - Maastricht University, Maastricht, Netherlands
Duration: 20 Jul 201622 Jul 2016

Keywords

  • Agreement
  • posterior beliefs
  • conditional probability systems
  • conditioning events
  • COMMON PRIOR ASSUMPTION
  • INFORMATION
  • HIERARCHIES
  • BELIEF
  • GAMES

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