Utility proportional beliefs

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Abstract

In game theory, basic solution concepts often conflict with experimental findings or intuitive reasoning. This fact is possibly due to the requirement that zero probability is assigned to irrational choices in these concepts. Here, we introduce the epistemic notion of common belief in utility proportional beliefs which also attributes positive probability to irrational choices, restricted however by the natural postulate that the probabilities should be proportional to the utilities the respective choices generate. Besides, we propose a procedural characterization of our epistemic concept. With regards to experimental findings common belief in utility proportional beliefs fares well in explaining observed behavior.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)881-902
Number of pages22
JournalInternational Journal of Game Theory
Volume43
Issue number4
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 Jan 2014

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