Three myths about risk thresholds for prediction models

Laure Wynants; Maarten van Smeden; David J. McLernon; Dirk Timmerman; Ewout W. Steyerberg; Ben Van Calster; Topic Group ‘Evaluating diagnostic tests and prediction models’ of the STRATOS initiative

doi:10.1186/s12916-019-1425-3

Three myths about risk thresholds for prediction models

Laure Wynants^*, Maarten van Smeden, David J. McLernon, Dirk Timmerman, Ewout W. Steyerberg, Ben Van Calster, Topic Group ‘Evaluating diagnostic tests and prediction models’ of the STRATOS initiative

^*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › Academic › peer-review

29 Citations (Web of Science)

Original language	English
Article number	192
Number of pages	7
Journal	BMC Medicine
Volume	17
Issue number	1
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1186/s12916-019-1425-3
Publication status	Published - 25 Oct 2019

Keywords

Clinical risk prediction model
Threshold
Decision support techniques
Risk
Data science
Diagnosis
Prognosis
ROC CURVE
CANCER
INDEX
SPECIFICITY
SENSITIVITY
PERFORMANCE
VALIDATION
MORTALITY
AREA

Access to Document

10.1186/s12916-019-1425-3

Cite this

@article{7b219de22c424131bf89a899e91fa774,

title = "Three myths about risk thresholds for prediction models",

keywords = "Clinical risk prediction model, Threshold, Decision support techniques, Risk, Data science, Diagnosis, Prognosis, ROC CURVE, CANCER, INDEX, SPECIFICITY, SENSITIVITY, PERFORMANCE, VALIDATION, MORTALITY, AREA",

author = "Laure Wynants and {van Smeden}, Maarten and McLernon, {David J.} and Dirk Timmerman and Steyerberg, {Ewout W.} and {Van Calster}, Ben and {Topic Group {\textquoteleft}Evaluating diagnostic tests and prediction models{\textquoteright} of the STRATOS initiative}",

year = "2019",

month = oct,

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doi = "10.1186/s12916-019-1425-3",

language = "English",

volume = "17",

journal = "BMC Medicine",

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Three myths about risk thresholds for prediction models. / Wynants, Laure; van Smeden, Maarten; McLernon, David J.; Timmerman, Dirk; Steyerberg, Ewout W.; Van Calster, Ben; Topic Group ‘Evaluating diagnostic tests and prediction models’ of the STRATOS initiative.

In: BMC Medicine, Vol. 17, No. 1, 192, 25.10.2019.

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › Academic › peer-review

TY - JOUR

T1 - Three myths about risk thresholds for prediction models

AU - Wynants, Laure

AU - van Smeden, Maarten

AU - McLernon, David J.

AU - Timmerman, Dirk

AU - Steyerberg, Ewout W.

AU - Van Calster, Ben

AU - Topic Group ‘Evaluating diagnostic tests and prediction models’ of the STRATOS initiative

PY - 2019/10/25

Y1 - 2019/10/25

KW - Clinical risk prediction model

KW - Threshold

KW - Decision support techniques

KW - Risk

KW - Data science

KW - Diagnosis

KW - Prognosis

KW - ROC CURVE

KW - CANCER

KW - INDEX

KW - SPECIFICITY

KW - SENSITIVITY

KW - PERFORMANCE

KW - VALIDATION

KW - MORTALITY

KW - AREA

U2 - 10.1186/s12916-019-1425-3

DO - 10.1186/s12916-019-1425-3

M3 - Article

C2 - 31651317

VL - 17

JO - BMC Medicine

JF - BMC Medicine

SN - 1741-7015

IS - 1

M1 - 192

ER -