The value of maintaining cognition in patients with mild cognitive impairment: The innovation headroom and potential cost-effectiveness of roflumilast

Ron Handels*, Sabine Grimm, Arjan Blokland, Nina Possemis, Inez Ramakers, Anke Sambeth, Frans Verhey, Stephanie Vos, Manuela Joore, Jos Prickaerts, Linus Jönsson

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Abstract

INTRODUCTION: Early health-technology assessment can support discussing scarce resource allocation among stakeholders. We explored the value of maintaining cognition in patients with mild cognitive impairment (MCI) by estimating: (1) the innovation headroom and (2) the potential cost effectiveness of roflumilast treatment in this population.

METHODS: The innovation headroom was operationalized by a fictive 100% efficacious treatment effect, and the roflumilast effect on memory word learning test was assumed to be associated with 7% relative risk reduction of dementia onset. Both were compared to Dutch setting usual care using the adapted International Pharmaco-Economic Collaboration on Alzheimer's Disease (IPECAD) open-source model.

RESULTS: The total innovation headroom expressed as net health benefit was 4.2 (95% bootstrap interval: 2.9-5.7) quality-adjusted life years (QALYs). The potential cost effectiveness of roflumilast was k€34 per QALY.

DISCUSSION: The innovation headroom in MCI is substantial. Although the potential cost effectiveness of roflumilast treatment is uncertain, further research on its effect on dementia onset is likely valuable.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)3458-3471
Number of pages14
JournalAlzheimer's & Dementia
Volume19
Issue number8
Early online date18 Feb 2023
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Aug 2023

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