The use of modeling tools for policy in evolutionary environments

B. Verspagen*

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review


This is a position paper on the possibilities of informing the (economic and environmental) policy debate by using quantitative evolutionary models. I argue that an evolutionary worldview implies that the existing quantitative modeling tools used for policy analysis are problematic. Then i summarize the main elements of an evolutionary way of analysis, and the way in which it can be incorporated into quantitative models. I conclude with an outline of a proposal for how to apply the ideas in the analysis of energy transitions.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)453-461
JournalTechnological Forecasting and Social Change
Publication statusPublished - 1 Jan 2009

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