Reconstructing evolutionary trajectories of mutation signature activities in cancer using TrackSig

  • Yulia Rubanova
  • , Ruian Shi
  • , Caitlin F. Harrigan
  • , Roujia Li
  • , Jeff Wintersinger
  • , Nil Sahin
  • , Amit G. Deshwar
  • , Stefan C. Dentro
  • , Ignaty Leshchiner
  • , Moritz Gerstung
  • , Clemency Jolly
  • , Kerstin Haase
  • , Maxime Tarabichi
  • , Kaixian Yu
  • , Santiago Gonzalez
  • , Geoff Macintyre
  • , David J. Adams
  • , Pavana Anur
  • , Rameen Beroukhim
  • , Paul C. Boutros
  • David D. Bowtell, Peter J. Campbell, Shaolong Cao, Elizabeth L. Christie, Marek Cmero, Yupeng Cun, Kevin J. Dawson, Jonas Demeulemeester, Nilgun Donmez, Ruben M. Drews, Roland Eils, Yu Fan, Matthew Fittall, Dale W. Garsed, Gad Getz, Gavin Ha, Marcin Imielinski, Lara Jerman, Yuan Ji, Kortine Kleinheinz, Juhee Lee, Henry Lee-Six, Dimitri G. Livitz, Salem Malikic, Florian Markowetz, Inigo Martincorena, Thomas J. Mitchell, PCAWG Consortium, PCAWG Evolution and Heterogeneity Working Group, David Townend, Quaid D. Morris*
*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Abstract

The type and genomic context of cancer mutations depend on their causes. These causes have been characterized using signatures that represent mutation types that co-occur in the same tumours. However, it remains unclear how mutation processes change during cancer evolution due to the lack of reliable methods to reconstruct evolutionary trajectories of mutational signature activity. Here, as part of the ICGC/TCGA Pan-Cancer Analysis of Whole Genomes (PCAWG) Consortium, which aggregated whole-genome sequencing data from 2658 cancers across 38 tumour types, we present TrackSig, a new method that reconstructs these trajectories using optimal, joint segmentation and deconvolution of mutation type and allele frequencies from a single tumour sample. In simulations, we find TrackSig has a 3–5% activity reconstruction error, and 12% false detection rate. It outperforms an aggressive baseline in situations with branching evolution, CNA gain, and neutral mutations. Applied to data from 2658 tumours and 38 cancer types, TrackSig permits pan-cancer insight into evolutionary changes in mutational processes.
Original languageEnglish
Article number731
Number of pages12
JournalNature Communications
Volume11
Issue number1
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 Dec 2020

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