Re-election incentives and the adoption of early childhood development programmes: The case of the “Happy Child” Programme in Brazil

Raquel Tebaldi*, Franziska Gassmann, Bruno Martorano

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Abstract

What incentives matter for governments to adopt pro-poor early childhood development (ECD) policies? This paper addresses this question by employing a regression discontinuity design (RDD) to study the effect of mayoral re-election incentives on the adoption of the “Happy Child” ECD Programme in Brazil. The analysis finds that municipalities with first-term mayors (those that were eligible for re-election for another consecutive mandate) had a higher probability of programme adoption by 2018 of over 10 percentage points. These results confirm theoretical expectations about the role of re-election incentives and provide a significant contribution on the institutional determinants of the expansion of ECD programmes in developing countries.
Original languageEnglish
Article number102616
JournalEuropean Journal of Political Economy
DOIs
Publication statusE-pub ahead of print - 1 Jan 2024

Keywords

  • Early childhood development
  • Electoral rules
  • Re-election incentives
  • Term limits

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