Prognostic value of the modified Rutgeerts' score for long-term outcomes after primary ileocecal resection in Crohn's disease

Michiel T J Bak, Sebastiaan Ten Bokkel Huinink, Nicole S Erler, Alexander G L Bodelier, Gerard Dijkstra, Mariëlle J Romberg-Camps, Nanne K H de Boer, Frank Hoentjen, Laurents P S Stassen, Andrea E van der Meulen-de Jong, Rachel L West, Oddeke van Ruler, C Janneke van der Woude, Annemarie C de Vries*, Dutch Initiative on Crohn and Colitis (ICC)

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Abstract

METHODS: Patients with CD after primary ileocecal resection with an available mRS at first postoperative ileocolonoscopy (index mRS) were retrospectively included. The primary outcome was surgical recurrence. Secondary outcomes were clinical recurrence and progression to severe endoscopic recurrence (‡i3). Cox proportional hazard models were used to assess the association between index mRS and outcomes. RESULTS: Six hundred fifty-two patients were included (mean follow-up: 6.4 years, SD: 4.6). Surgical recurrence rates were 7.7%, 5.3%, 12.9%, 19.1%, 28.8%, 47.8% for index mRS i0, i1, i2a, i2b, i3, and i4, respectively. Clinical recurrence occurred in 42.2% (i0), 53.7% (i1), 58.5% (i2a), 80.2% (i2b), 79.4% (i3), and 95.3% (i4) of patients. Progression to severe endoscopic recurrence occurred in 21.1% (i0), 33.9% (i1), 26.8% (i2a), and 33.3% (i2b) of patients. An index mRS of i2b (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 3.0; 1.5–5.6), i3 (aHR 4.0; 2.0–7.9) and i4 (aHR 8.0; 4.0–16.0) were associated with surgical recurrence. An index mRS of i1 (aHR 1.7; 1.2–2.4), i2a (aHR 1.7; 1.2–2.4), i2b (aHR 4.4; 3.2–6.0), i3 (aHR 3.6; 2.5–5.2), and i4 (aHR 7.3; 4.8–10.9) were associated with clinical recurrence. An index mRS of i1 (aHR 2.0; 1.1–3.7) or i2b (aHR 2.5; 1.4–4.6) was associated with progression to severe endoscopic recurrence. DISCUSSION: The increasing mRS corresponds closely with the risk of surgical and clinical recurrence. An index mRS ‡ i2b is associated with surgical recurrence, an index mRS ‡ i1 is associated with clinical recurrence, and i1 or i2b with progression to severe endoscopic recurrence. These results support tight monitoring of disease activity and treatment optimization in patients with ileal lesions and a more conservative management in patients with anastomotic lesions.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)306-312
Number of pages7
JournalThe American Journal of Gastroenterology
Volume119
Issue number2
Early online date22 Sept 2023
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 Feb 2024

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