Abstract
We investigate how the salience of an ethnic minority affects the majority group’s voting behavior. We use the increased salience of Muslim communities during Ramadan as a natural experiment. Exploiting exogenous variation in the distance of election dates to Ramadan over the 1980–2013 period in Germany, our findings reveal an increased polarization. Vote shares for both right- and left-wing extremist parties increase in municipalities with mosques when an election takes place shortly after Ramadan. We use survey data to provide evidence on mechanisms: Ramadan increases respondents’ perceived share of the foreign-born population and emphasizes cultural dissimilarities, ultimately worsening attitudes toward Muslims.
Original language | English |
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Pages (from-to) | 237-271 |
Number of pages | 35 |
Journal | American Economic Journal-Applied Economics |
Volume | 13 |
Issue number | 3 |
DOIs | |
Publication status | Published - Jul 2021 |
JEL classifications
- d72 - Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
- d91 - "Intertemporal Consumer Choice; Life Cycle Models and Saving"
- z13 - Economic Sociology
- z12 - Cultural Economics: Religion
- j15 - "Economics of Minorities, Races, and Immigrants; Non-labor Discrimination"
Keywords
- ISSUE-SALIENCE
- ETHNIC DIVERSITY
- IMMIGRATION
- PSYCHOLOGY
- CONFLICT
- BEHAVIOR
- RAMADAN