Investor Memory

Katrin Gödker*, Peiran Jiao, Paul Smeets

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Abstract

We provide experimental evidence of a positive memory bias that affects individuals' beliefs, decisions to reinvest, and overconfidence in the stock market. Individuals overremember positive investment outcomes of chosen assets and underremember negative ones. Based on their memories, subjects form overly optimistic beliefs about their investment, reinvest too much, and become overconfident about their investment ability relative to others. We further provide evidence on motivation driving the memory bias. This positive memory bias offers a cognitive microfoundation for why gains weight more than losses when people learn from experiences. This helps reconcile various stylized facts in investor beliefs and behavior.
Original languageEnglish
Article numberhhaf006
Pages (from-to)1595-1640
Number of pages46
JournalReview of Financial Studies
Volume38
Issue number6
Early online date1 Mar 2025
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 Jun 2025

Keywords

  • ATTENTION
  • CHOICE
  • CONFIDENCE
  • D01
  • DECISION
  • EXPECTED-UTILITY-THEORY
  • EXPERIENCE
  • G4
  • INFORMATION
  • OVERCONFIDENCE
  • RISK-AVERSION
  • STOCK

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