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How predictable is technological progress?
J.D. Farmer, F. Lafond
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Corresponding author for this work
Mt Economic Research Inst on Innov/Techn
UNU-MERIT Research and Training Institute
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Keyphrases
Technological Progress
100%
Forecast Error
100%
Moore's Law
100%
Historical Data
50%
Closed-form Expression
50%
Distribution Forecast
50%
Photovoltaic Module
50%
Universal Distribution
50%
Hindcasts
50%
Random Walk with Drift
50%
Well-making
50%
Geometric Random Walk
50%
Practical Demonstration
50%
Casting Experiment
50%
INIS
errors
100%
distribution
100%
data
50%
cost
50%
geometry
50%
randomness
50%
probability
50%
time dependence
50%
casting
50%
Computer Science
Technological Progress
100%
Moore's Law
100%
closed-form expression
50%
Clear Understanding
50%
Historical Data
50%
Random Walk
50%
Social Sciences
Technological Progress
100%