Conformal stacked weather forecasting

Jelmer Neeven, Evgueni Smirnov

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference article in proceedingAcademicpeer-review

Abstract

In this paper we propose to apply the stacking method to aggregating multi-output predictions from different weather-forecasting domains (websites). Depending on the aggregating procedure (non-conformal/conformal), the results can be bare multi-output predictions or multi-output prediction regions. The experiments show the applicability of the stacking method on real data related to eight weather-forecasting domains.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationProceedings of the 7th Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction and Applications, COPA 2018, 11-13 June 2018, Maastricht, The Netherlands.
PublisherProceedings of Machine Learning Research
Pages220-233
Number of pages14
Volume91
Publication statusPublished - 2018

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