Autoregressive Convolutional Recurrent Neural Network for Univariate and Multivariate Time Series Prediction

Matteo Maggiolo, Gerasimos Spanakis

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference article in proceedingAcademicpeer-review

Abstract

Time Series forecasting (univariate and multivariate) is a problem of high complexity due the different patterns that have to be detected in the input, ranging from high to low frequencies ones. In this paper we propose a new model for timeseries prediction that utilizes convolutional layers for feature extraction, a recurrent encoder and a linear autoregressive component. We motivate the model and we test and compare it against a baseline of widely used existing architectures for univariate and multivariate timeseries. The proposed model appears to outperform the baselines in almost every case of the multivariate timeseries datasets, in some cases even with 50% improvement which shows the strengths of such a hybrid architecture in complex timeseries.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationProceedings 27th European Symposium on Artificial Neural Networks, ESANN 2019, Bruges, Belgium, April 24-26, 2019
Pages625-630
Publication statusPublished - Apr 2019

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