A Vector Heterogeneous Autoregressive Index model for realized volatility measures

G. Cubadda, B. Guardabascio, A.W. Hecq

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Abstract

This paper introduces a new modelling for detecting the presence of commonalities in a set of realized volatility measures. In particular, we propose a multivariate generalization of the heterogeneous autoregressive model (HAR) that is endowed with a common index structure. The Vector Heterogeneous Autoregressive Index model has the property to generate a common index that preserves the same temporal cascade structure as in the HAR model, a feature that is not shared by other aggregation methods (e.g., principal components). The parameters of this model can be easily estimated by a proper switching algorithm that increases the Gaussian likelihood at each step. We illustrate our approach with an empirical analysis aiming at combining several realized volatility measures of the same equity index for three different markets.
Original languageEnglish
Place of PublicationMaastricht
PublisherMaastricht University, Graduate School of Business and Economics
Number of pages17
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 Jan 2015

Publication series

SeriesGSBE Research Memoranda
Number033

Cite this

Cubadda, G., Guardabascio, B., & Hecq, A. W. (2015). A Vector Heterogeneous Autoregressive Index model for realized volatility measures. Maastricht University, Graduate School of Business and Economics. GSBE Research Memoranda, No. 033 https://doi.org/10.26481/umagsb.2015033