A Scenario Approach to the Simonshaven Case

Peter J. van Koppen; Anne Ruth Mackor

doi:10.1111/tops.12429

A Scenario Approach to the Simonshaven Case

Peter J. van Koppen
, Anne Ruth Mackor^*

^*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › Academic › peer-review

Abstract

In this paper, we present a scenario approach and apply it to the Simonshaven case. We offer an outline in which we spell out the core notions of the scenario approach. Next, we give a summing up of criteria to assess and compare scenarios. We use examples of the Simonshaven case to illustrate how the scenario-approach works. The last section contains a discussion of the main strengths and weaknesses of the scenario approach and a brief comparison with argumentation-based and probabilistic approaches.

Original language	English
Pages (from-to)	1132-1151
Number of pages	20
Journal	Topics in Cognitive Science
Volume	12
Issue number	4
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1111/tops.12429
Publication status	Published - Oct 2020

Keywords

Law
Evidence
Scenario
Inference to the best explanation
Coherence
Falsification
Discriminating evidence
Novel facts
INFERENCE
EXPLANATION

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10.1111/tops.12429Licence: CC BY-NC-ND

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title = "A Scenario Approach to the Simonshaven Case",

abstract = "In this paper, we present a scenario approach and apply it to the Simonshaven case. We offer an outline in which we spell out the core notions of the scenario approach. Next, we give a summing up of criteria to assess and compare scenarios. We use examples of the Simonshaven case to illustrate how the scenario-approach works. The last section contains a discussion of the main strengths and weaknesses of the scenario approach and a brief comparison with argumentation-based and probabilistic approaches.",

keywords = "Law, Evidence, Scenario, Inference to the best explanation, Coherence, Falsification, Discriminating evidence, Novel facts, INFERENCE, EXPLANATION",

author = "\{van Koppen\}, \{Peter J.\} and Mackor, \{Anne Ruth\}",

note = "Funding Information: This work has partly been made possible by financial support and hospitality of the Isaac Newton Institute for Mathematical Sciences, Cambridge, supported by EPSRC grant no EP/K032208/1. We thank the participants of the Cambridge 2016 and London 2017 workshops on the Simonshaven case as well as the reviewers of our article for their feedback on earlier versions of our analysis. Publisher Copyright: {\textcopyright} 2019 The Authors. Topics in Cognitive Science published by Wiley Periodicals, Inc. on behalf of Cognitive Science Society.",

year = "2020",

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KW - Evidence

KW - Scenario

KW - Inference to the best explanation

KW - Coherence

KW - Falsification

KW - Discriminating evidence

KW - Novel facts

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KW - EXPLANATION

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JO - Topics in Cognitive Science

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A Scenario Approach to the Simonshaven Case

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Keywords

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