A Scenario Approach to the Simonshaven Case

Peter J. van Koppen, Anne Ruth Mackor*

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review


In this paper, we present a scenario approach and apply it to the Simonshaven case. We offer an outline in which we spell out the core notions of the scenario approach. Next, we give a summing up of criteria to assess and compare scenarios. We use examples of the Simonshaven case to illustrate how the scenario-approach works. The last section contains a discussion of the main strengths and weaknesses of the scenario approach and a brief comparison with argumentation-based and probabilistic approaches.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)1132-1151
Number of pages20
JournalTopics in Cognitive Science
Issue number4
Publication statusPublished - Oct 2020


  • Law
  • Evidence
  • Scenario
  • Inference to the best explanation
  • Coherence
  • Falsification
  • Discriminating evidence
  • Novel facts

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